Leading outcome priced at 58.7% (+13.7% in 24h). $10.6K total volume. Resolves Nov 4, 2026. Odds via Polymarket, aggregated by Future.
Yes Chance
58.7%No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate58.7%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate33.0%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate4.7%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate4.1%
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