Leading outcome priced at 61.6% (+1.3% in 24h). $13.3K total volume. Resolves Nov 4, 2026. Odds via Polymarket, aggregated by Future.
Yes Chance
61.6%No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate61.6%
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate31.8%
Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate3.0%
Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate2.2%
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